The week has already started with major market volatility, and more of it is expected over the next five working days.
Markets will be digesting the latest round of tariff threats from US President Trump and a potential US government shutdown this week, in addition to ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Add to that the Federal Reserve meeting and rate decision, and more inflation data, and we’re in for a rollercoaster ride this week. “Buckle up for a huge week ahead,” said the Kobeissi Letter, which warned of “significant volatility this week.”
Economic Events Jan. 26 to 30
US President Trump threatened Canada with 100% tariffs over the weekend if the country went ahead with a deal with China. However, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said on Sunday his country has no intention of pursuing a free trade deal with China, quelling some investor fears.
Meanwhile, there are increasing odds that the US government is heading for a partial shutdown this week as Senate Democrats vow to oppose a funding package.
“Government funding expires at the end of the week, and Republicans are determined to not have another government shutdown,” sources told CNBC.
On the economic data front, January’s Consumer Confidence report is due on Tuesday, providing insight into consumer sentiment.
The Fed’s interest rate decision is due on Wednesday. There is currently 97% odds that rates will remain unchanged, according to CME predictions markets.
December’s Producer Price Index (PPI) Inflation data is due on Friday, adding more fuel to the economic fires. This measures the average change over time in the selling prices received by domestic producers for their output, reflecting price changes for goods and services.
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Buckle up for a huge week ahead:
1. Markets React to 100% Canada Tariff Threat – Tonight
2. Markets React to 75% Chance of Govt Shutdown – Tonight
3. January Consumer Confidence data – Tuesday
4. Fed Interest Rate Decision and Press Conference – Wednesday
5. Microsoft, Meta,…
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) January 25, 2026
Additionally, four of the “Magnificent 7” report quarterly earnings this week, with Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla on Wednesday, and Apple on Thursday. Stock futures were already falling on Monday, ahead of this week’s turbulent waters.
Crypto Market Outlook
Crypto markets were deep in the red during the Monday morning trading session in Asia. Total capitalization had dropped 1.8% on the day in a fall to $3 trillion.
Bitcoin led the losses, falling back to $86,000, its lowest level for five weeks, before a minor recovery to $87,700. The asset is currently teetering on key support levels, which, if broken, could result in a fully fledged bear market.
Ether prices continued to weaken, with the asset falling below $2,800 briefly and not showing much of a recovery. The altcoins were a predictable bloodbath.
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